Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Rate Raised, One belt one road dream


Hey Folk

Rate raise is back.

Rate raise again. A lot of companies have a better cash flow and balance sheet than before. So right now I have a 0.5% rise in rate, do you really think it will affect all these companies tremendously?

I do not think that these will drastically affect any companies as they have enough to spare and are prepared for that.

With the rate raise, I think investors will take advantage of taking profit on USD and later load back in.

For Najib country goers, I had some discussion and research suggesting SGD/MYR may go to 3.4.

One belt One Road

Let take a look at the world map and see the one belt one road ambitions of the Republic of China.




You can clearly see that there will be roads or railway connecting China to every parts of the world. These will shorten time of transport. Also in my opinion by pass the strategic port of Singapore as we become not that relevant in term of a port. So invest in China. CSI 300 or China A50. These will sure bring cai yuan gun gun (hanyu pingying)

There is a 10 years cycle of stock market downturn and it should happen on the next year. Cycles are a guide and not a formula. As of now I believe in the cycle and also believe that market still have rooms to rise further.

I maybe wrong. Time will tell.

Cheer